White House still hopeful, China starts using a COVID-19 vaccine inhaled through the mouth, high risk of death for the mother and of preterm birth for the baby, to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death. Dr. Cline Gounder, an internist, epidemiologist and infectious disease specialist, is Senior Fellow and Editor-at-Large for Public Health at Kaiser Health News. The latest shots, which target Omicron and its subvariants, could offer protection against a winter surge in cases. US without 'adequate' Covid-19 tests this winter due to congressional inaction, White House says. Unless their mothers were vaccinated during pregnancy or got COVID during pregnancy the latter of which poses a high risk of death for the mother and of preterm birth for the baby infants are probably not getting protective antibodies against COVID through breast milk. The most accurate estimate of the real number of daily COVID-19 infections from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) shows that 21 million people were infected globally on Wednesday, up 23 percent from the most recent trough of 17 million infections on September 27. Hospitalizations have been dropping pretty steadily since mid-July. Across the globe, new COVID-19 infections have turned upwards once again after the Omicron BA.5 surge steadily declined since the end of July. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. And our vaccines remain effective, but we have to remain vigilant, she said. And these are just two of the new crop of Omicron descendants making a move. Only 37 percent of people over the age of 50 have gotten a second booster. Covid vaccination rates range from 61% among children ages 12 to 17 to 2% among kids younger than 2. U.S. health officials are expecting another fall Covid surge as immunity from vaccination wanes off and people head indoors as the weather turns colder. Despite hundreds of warnings by scientists in the decades preceding the COVID-19 pandemic, nothing was done to prepare, and even today capitalist society stands totally unprepared for the next horrific pandemic that will inevitably emerge. In Germany, Oktoberfest and other large events encouraged by politicians are now fueling a second wave of BA.5 infections, which has pushed hospitals to the brink. While official deaths from COVID-19 stand at 6.54 million globally, the central estimate for excess deaths by the Economist has reached 22.4 million, or 3.4 times the official tally. The paramount task facing the international working class is to develop a mass global movement to stop the pandemic, end the war and rebuild society on socialist foundations. "We anticipate that cases are CNN . The government cant do that anymore, he said, because Congress has declined to pass additional funding for the Covid-19 response. In the U.S., cases have surged recently, as has the number of hospitalized patients with Covid (although some of them were admitted for other reasons and happened to test positive for the virus. A Warner Bros. In other parts of the world, BA.4.6 has been overtaken by BA.2.75 and BF.7 (a descendant of BA.5), which respectively account for fewer than 2% and 5% of COVID cases in the U.S. The BA.5 variant that surfaced earlier this year remains the dominant variant in the U.S., but the BA.4.6 Omicron subvariant may be poised to become dominant in the United States. ", Still, even what we can see from that limited surveillance is concerning. COVID-19 hospitalizations in Illinois are at their highest levels in more than a month, which Illinois Department of Public Health officials say indicates the start of . Currently, demand for COVID-19 booster vaccinations at vaccination centers and doctors' offices is low. Particularly worrisome are BQ.1.1 and XBB, which are considered likely to become dominant throughout the world in the coming weeks. A "likely" fall/winter Coronavirus surge in the United States was predicted by leading infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci as early as April. Susan Hopkins, the chief medical advisor at the UK Health Security Agency, noted that the H3N2 flu strain can cause particularly severe illness Flu and COVID-19 are unpredictable, but there are strong indications we could be facing the threat of widely circulating flu, lower levels of natural immunity due to less exposure over the last three winters and an increase in COVID-19 circulating with lots of variants that can evade the immune response.. So far, no national surge has started yet.. With malice aforethought, they have ignored the repeated warnings of epidemiologists and prioritized the profit interests of the corporate-financial elite over life. If you'll be seeing older, immunocompromised, or otherwise vulnerable family and friends over the winter holidays, you might want to get a booster two to four weeks in advance to better shield them against COVID. We are clearly at the start of a winter [COVID-19] wave! said Karl Lauterbach, Germanys federal minister of health, during a press briefing yesterday. This is what predominantly happens for most pathogens, such as the flu and RSV, Grubaugh wrote in an email. The bivalent booster vaccine, authorized in September, protects against the original strain of the coronavirus as well as the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants. Beth Mole / Beth is Ars Technicas health reporter. Jha said that means the nation is facing fall and winter with a smaller arsenal against the virus, just when it needs to expand its options. The BA.4.6 Omicron subvariant is better than BA.5 at dodging people's immune defenses from both prior infection and vaccination. What does that mean for this winter's surge? 4 min read The U.S. was rocked by a massive COVID surge this past winter, driven almost entirely by the fast-spreading Omicron variant. Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said on Wednesday that he thinks there will be an uptick in cases of Covid-19 over the next few . Even if the current variant soup does not render existing vaccines unable to prevent severe disease and death, the constant spread of the virus provides it with billions of hosts in which it will continue to mutate and potentially evolve into a more lethal strain, while the WHOs ability to monitor these mutations has been substantially degraded. Jennifer Nuzzo, director of the Pandemic Center at Brown University School of Public Health, told the New York Times about the United States complete lack of preparedness for future pandemics, stating, In peoples minds, perhaps, is the idea that this COVID thing was such a freak of nature, was a once-in-a-century crisis, and were good for the next 99 years. But in reality, she said, This is the new normal.. Influenza is already circulating in some parts of the country. Capitalism is an obsolete, anarchic social system that offers no future for humanity and must be replaced with a planned world socialist economy. Their risk shouldn't be measured against the risk that COVID poses to other age groups but against the risk they face from other preventable diseases. Newly reformulated boosters could suppress some of covid's cold-season spread By Joel Achenbach and Lena H. Sun September 3, 2022 at 8:00 a.m. EDT Precautions against the coronavirus have. Science & Research. However, cases are expected to be less severe compared to previous seasons because of resources like vaccinations and treatment options. However, getting a booster shot provides a "honeymoon" period for a couple of months after vaccination, during which you're less likely to get infected and thus less likely to transmit the virus to others. In the past, the federal government guaranteed it would buy monoclonal antibodies in bulk, but funding for that program has not been extended by Congress. Children who have had COVID also benefit from vaccination. Every hospital in the UK is under significant pressure and a new Covid surge is "a very heavy straw on the camel's back . "Surveillance has changed drastically in the last several months," Maria Van Kerkhove, COVID-19 technical lead for the World Health Organization, said in a press briefing Wednesday. Additional measures such as improving indoor air quality and donning masks would be needed to reduce the risk of infection. The Omicron subvariant BA.5 has quickly become dominant across the United States. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images). Studies indicate that both of these subvariants and others will render ineffective the last remaining monoclonal antibody drugs Evusheld and Bebtelovimab, threatening tens of millions of immunocompromised people throughout the world with greater risk of severe disease and death. The report also notes that Long COVID cases grew by more than 300 percent between 2020 and 2021, underscoring the criminality of the policies of the US and European governments, which claimed that the COVID-19 vaccines were sufficient to allow the return to normalcy. The risk appears to increase considerably among those with severe disease requiring hospitalization, although even mild infections can lead to Long COVID and other long-term damage to ones body. Were worse prepared now than we were early in the pandemic.. (AP Photo/Michael Probst) By: Al Tompkins. In 2020 and 2021, COVID cases spiked in the U.S. between November and February. We get more immunity in people, and it finds a way to get around immunity. A flurry of new Covid-19 variants appears to be gaining traction globally, raising fears of a winter surge. The U.S. is averaging 59,245 Covid cases every day, a 25 percent drop over the past week and a 92 percent drop from the mid-January peak of the Omicron surge, when daily case averages reached as . By the numbers: Last week Utah saw about 18 COVID hospitalizations per day. But many people are unsure if they're eligible. Pedestrians wear masks in Los Angeles July 13, 2022. Someone from the Socialist Equality Party or the WSWS in your region will contact you promptly. There is "currently no evidence" that the two variants are causing more serious illness than the previous variants, according to UKHSA. / Kaiser Health News. So even if we got money today, it would take us many months to bring a monoclonal into the marketplace, and we dont have the money today anyway, Jha told CNN. COVID forecast: Major fall surge unlikely, but variants are a wild card. Crucially, some of the variants also appear to be impervious to the last lab-created antibodies available to ward off severe Covid-19 infections: an antibody treatment called bebtelovimab, which is made by Eli Lilly, and the combination of two long-acting antibodies in Evusheld, a shot made by AstraZeneca that helps keep people who are immunocompromised from getting sick in the first place. Mehring Books, the publishing arm of the Socialist Equality Party (US), is proud to announce the publication in epub format of Volume 1 of COVID, Capitalism, and Class War: A Social and Political Chronology of the Pandemic, a compilation of the World Socialist Web Site's coverage of this global crisis. They're unlikely to have immunity from infection, and a small share has been vaccinated. On Sept. 28, the seven-day average for new cases was 48,806, marking a 22. The fall bivalent booster is the first attempt to apply the yearly flu vaccination model to COVID-19. February. Other Omicron subvariants on the horizon include BJ.1, BA.2.3.20, BN.1, and XBB, all descendants of BA.2. The dreaded winter COVID wave may already be upon usand based on early signs, we may be in for a rough time. appreciated. So they share many parts of their genomes with that virus. Almost exactly one year ago, on October 24, 2021, the World Socialist Web Site and the International Workers Alliance of Rank-and-File Committees (IWA-RFC) hosted a powerful webinar that brought together a panel of leading scientists who outlined a global elimination strategy to stop the pandemic. Just how big is this COVID surge? It's especially important for people 65 or older, pregnant women, people with chronic medical conditions, and children under 5 to get their yearly flu shots because they're at highest risk of hospitalization and death. The genetic changes these variants share appear to help them escape the immunity created by vaccines and past infections a recipe for reinfections and breakthrough infections, particularly for people who havent had an updated booster. They compared the outlook with current vaccination and booster rates to what could be averted if those rates mirrored the coverage of influenza vaccine in the 2020-2021 flu seasonwhich was modest but solid 59 percent for those aged 6 months to 17 years, and 50 percent among adults. But an upswing in positive cases over the last number of weeks and a dire warning from health chiefs for a winter surge in both COVID and flu means that the danger of coronavirus hasn't gone away. But the new variants are particularly devastating for millions of Americans who have weakened immune systems. The wave of coronavirus infections and hospitalizations anticipated this fall will peak around 280 hospitalized beds, according to a new Oregon Health & Science University forecast, lower than any . October 8, 2022, 4:00 AM PDT Omicron variants are becoming increasingly similar this fall due to recombination and convergent evolution. If the goal of vaccination is to prevent infection and transmission, then repeat boosters will be needed after completing the primary vaccination series and as often as a couple of times a year. All Rights Reserved. Symptoms of the new sub-variants are: Cough. At that point, there were. In the United States, these are BQ.1, BQ.1.1, BF.7, BA.4.6, BA.2.75 and BA.2.75.2. Unfortunately, this year's updated Omicron booster doesn't appear to provide significantly better protection than the original boosters. Thats less than 10% of the population thats eligible to get one. As people head indoors amid cooling weather, several European countries are seeing upticks in COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. That limits our ability to really track each of these [omicron subvariants]. Lumped together, the variants accounted for almost 1 in 3 new Covid-19 infections nationwide last week, according to the latest estimates from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Daily deaths have. Coalition members urged the state to require students or workers who contract COVID to isolate for 10 days or until they no longer test positive on a rapid test, a contrast from the latest U.S.. Given the recent declarations by US President Joe Biden that the pandemic is over, a purely political slogan that attempts to chloroform the population and reassure the financial oligarchy that no future interventions will disrupt the economy again, it bears giving an accounting of the devastation wrought by ruling elites murderous policies. About 19,000 patients are being for COVID-19 treated in U.S. hospitals, up 10% from last week. "I think there's probably two scenarios that are likely," said Michael Sweat, Ph.D. "One is we're going to quickly go . At especially high risk are infants. We will continue to see waves of infection. Similar to influenza, COVID is most deadly for the very youngest and oldest. That strain of the virus, which is now long gone, came out of genetic left field, leaving researchers and public health officials scrambling to catch up. Experts say cases will rise as immunity wanes and people move indoors. But a thick soup of omicron subvariants is simmering on the back burner, loaded with sublineagesnotably from BA.2. In . Sept. 2, 2022, at 6:01 a.m. Save The Long and Winding Pandemic More A spectator wears a mask while watching a softball game in Los Angeles, on April 29. The misinformed public is not to be blamed for the profound lack of scientific understanding. Cases have started to climb, and hospitalizations are increasing in the oldest age groups.. Having been told, in the words of US President Joe Biden, that the pandemic is over, many are failing to take even the most elementary precautions. Why? It depends on the targets set by public health officials, whether COVID becomes a seasonal virus like the flu, and how much the virus continues to mutate and evade humanity's immune defenses. Expecting a fall surge The Biden administration is preparing for the possibility that 100 million Americans will be infected with the coronavirus this fall and winter, according to an. Its matched against the still-dominant variant, which is BA.5, and almost certainly will have a reasonably good degree of cross-protection against the BQ.1.1 and the others, and yet the uptake of these vaccines, as we are already in the middle of October, is disappointing, he said. First published on October 14, 2022 / 5:00 AM. Based on early reports from northern European countries, including Belgium and Denmark, which continue to maintain some semblance of COVID-19 monitoring and reporting, the next wave of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations and deaths has begun across the European Union. It isnt that different from BA.5 that it would completely escape the protection that you would get from vaccine if people would just get the shot, Fauci said. Across the globe, new COVID-19 infections have turned upwards once again after the Omicron BA.5 surge steadily declined since the end of July. Health experts predict there will be a surge in COVID cases this fall and winter. 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Although another medication, bebtelovimab, remains active in treating COVID from BA.4.6 and BA.2.75.2, it's ineffective against BQ.1.1. Maria Van Kerkhove, the Covid-19 response technical lead for the World Health Organization, said Wednesday that the large mix of new variants was becoming more difficult for WHO to assess because countries were dialing back on their surveillance. In the past year, the recklessness of the pandemic policies has been extended to the arena of the US-NATO proxy war against Russia in Ukraine, which Biden himself acknowledged threatens to erupt into nuclear Armageddon. Hospitals, schools and industries across the US and internationally are in a state of collapse after unending COVID-19 waves have caused massive staffing shortages. Copyright 2022 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. It could make them easier to fightor harder to control,. The Omicron variant has burst into an alphabet soup of subvariants. Yet only half of adults in the United States have heard much about these booster shots, according to a recent KFF poll, and only a third say they've gotten one or plan to get one as soon as possible. A man wearing a protective face mask walks past a mural on a street, amidst the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in Mumbai, India, January 10, 2022. International Committee of the Fourth International, COVID, Capitalism, and Class War: A Social and Political Chronology of the Pandemic, Join the fight to end the COVID-19 pandemic, The historical background of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fight for global elimination, Scientists make powerful case for global COVID-19 elimination, Ahead of winter surge, CDC covers up COVID-19 variant data. International Committee of the Fourth International, COVID, Capitalism, and Class War: A Social and Political Chronology of the Pandemic, Join the fight to end the COVID-19 pandemic, As COVID deaths and infections climb, Biden presses claim that pandemic is over. Medianews Group/Los Angeles Daily News via Getty Images As the United States heads into the fall and winter, questions are arising about whether the return of masks is needed to stem a potential COVID-19 surge. Hotez says people shouldnt panic about this news but should pay attention. The pandemic has triggered an unprecedented social crisis as well as the outbreak of war in Ukraine, which could at any moment escalate into a nuclear conflagration that could destroy human civilization. White House COVID-19 Response Coordinator Dr. Ashish Jha. You must login or create an account to comment. It is well known that public health has been chronically underfunded, especially in the United States. In the first three years of the pandemic, the United States has experienced waves of infection in summer. Now we're learning that Omicron is mutating to better evade the immune system. Although people of all ages are being hospitalized from COVID, those hospitalizations are also skewing older. And the truth is that if we want monoclonals to protect high-risk people which we do then at this point, given the speed of viral evolution, the US government has to be a major player in that role, Jha said. Lack of funding for these chronic and debilitating illnesses will further undermine and erode the entire health care edifice. Although the U.S. hasn't yet seen much in the way of another variant descended from BA.5 BQ.1.1 it is rising quickly in other countries like the U.K., Belgium, and Denmark. In 2021, amid the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, 206 million more people were officially infected and another 3.6 million officially died (at a rate of 300,000 per month). iStock . (Genaro Molina/Los Angeles Times/Getty. "The number of sequences that the world and our expert networks are evaluating has dropped by more than 90 percent since the start of the year. 14/10/2022 It's been just under nine months since virtually all COVID-19 regulations were lifted. The CDC recommends that anyone 6 months of age and older get an annual flu shot. 8:43 AM EDT, Thu October 20, 2022. Their changes arent on the scale of what happened when the original Omicron arrived on the scene in November 2021. Experts say cases will rise as immunity wanes and people move indoors. But it's precisely because the stakes are higher for kids that many parents are anxious about getting their children vaccinated. Cases are also rising in Europe and the UK, where these variants have taken hold. by If these antibodies stop working against the virus, the United States will still have Covid-19 antiviral drugs like Paxlovid, molnupiravir and remedsivir to help those at risk of severe complications. In the last nine months of 2020, there were officially 83 million COVID-19 infections and 1.9 million deaths globally (or 210,000 per month). Beth Mole - 10/5/2022, 4:02 PM Enlarge /. 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